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7. Analyze the results

The completed analysis for the example is shown below.

Calculations:

  = 2.00
Zupper = 2.00
Zlower = 5.00
Cpk = 0.67
Cp = 1.17
Cpu = 0.67
Cpl = 1.67

 

Examine the capability indices and the distribution. What do they show? Is the process capable? In the example, the process is off center, reflecting a capability issue. The upper specification of 14 minutes cannot be achieved consistently. The team must either improve the process or revise the specification. In the example, the team chose to revise the specification, but this is not an option in many industries.

The aim of capability is to achieve improved Cpk values, resulting in a more capable system. For most industries, the aim is to achieve a Cpk of at least one. Certainly this is the case for most service organizations. Some manufacturing companies require Cpk values greater than one. For example, the minimum is frequently 1.33, providing room for process drift, etc. When parts are being assembled, reduced variation at the center of the specification gives considerable benefit, namely parts assemble more quickly and more easily. Motorola, for example, constantly strives for higher and higher Cpk values. The company’s 6-sigma program has received a great deal of attention, and translates to a Cpk of 2.0. By pushing for improved Cpk values, the improvement effort is focused on shrinking variation around the center of the specifications.

Caution: If a process is unstable—that is, if special causes are evident in the control chart—capability analysis will be unreliable. Every time the capability indices are calculated, they will be different. Special causes should be removed from a process. While special causes are present, the process is unpredictable, causing it to go in and out of specification. As soon as a special cause occurs, the Cpk is meaningless, since special causes often result in unpredictable defects; even an apparently good Cpk can not be relied upon.

If the sampling selected in the control chart is not appropriate for the process, this can also affect the Cp/Cpk values. For example, sampling too frequently will artificially reduce the range values and cause the Cp/Cpk values to appear high. Using the wrong sample size can have a similar effect. Refer to the sampling section for guidance with appropriate sample size and frequency.

If the data being analyzed is not normal, the estimated standard deviation () will not be accurate. Nonnormal capability analysis must be used if the distribution is not normal, refer to the topic “Nonnormal capability analysis,” later in this section for more information. The method shown in this section can be significantly affected by non-normal data, giving inaccurate results.

The above article is an excerpt from the “Operational definition” chapter of Practical Tools for Continuous Improvement Volume 2 Statistical Tools.

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6. Calculate and interpret the capability indices

This step describes the key capability indices.

>> 6.1. Calculate Cp
>> 6.2. Calculate Cpk
>> 6.3. Interpret Cp and Cpk
>> 6.4. Calculate Cpu and Cpl

The above article is an excerpt from the “Operational definition” chapter of Practical Tools for Continuous Improvement Volume 2 Statistical Tools.

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6.4. Calculate Cpu and Cpl

Cpu and Cpl are the Cpk values calculated for both Z values.

Therefore, Cpu is:

For the example:

Cpl is:

For the example:

From Cpu and Cpl, it is evident that the smaller value for the example is Cpu, which is the same value as Cpk. By comparing Cpu to Cpl, it is evident that the overall average is off center and closer to the upper specification than the lower specification. The larger the difference between the Cpu and Cpl, the more off center the process.

The above article is an excerpt from the “Operational definition” chapter of Practical Tools for Continuous Improvement Volume 2 Statistical Tools.

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6.3. Interpret Cp and Cpk

The Cp and Cpk indices are the primary capability indices. Cp shows whether the distribution can potentially fit inside the specification, while Cpk shows whether the overall average is centrally located. If the overall average is in the center of the specification, the Cp and Cpk values will be the same. If the Cp and Cpk values are different, the overall average is not centrally located. The larger the difference in the values, the more offset the overall average. This concept is shown graphically below.

Cpk can never exceed Cp, so Cp can be seen as the potential Cpk if the overall average is centrally set. In the example, Cp is 1.17 and Cpk is 0.67. This shows that the distribution can potentially fit within the specification. However, the overall average is currently off center. The Cpk value does not state whether the overall average is offset on the upper or lower side. It is necessary to go to the Z values to discern this. An alternative is to show the capability indices Cpu and Cpl.

The above article is an excerpt from the “Operational definition” chapter of Practical Tools for Continuous Improvement Volume 2 Statistical Tools.

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6.2. Calculate Cpk

Cpk takes into account the center of the data relative to the specifications, as well as the variation in the process. Cpk is simple to calculate. The smaller of the two Z values is selected. This is known as Zmin . When Zmin has been selected, it is divided by 3. The formula is:

The Z values for the example are Zupper of 2.00 and Zlower of 5.00, therefore Zmin is 2.00. Cpk for the example is:

If the Cpk formula is written in full, it becomes more apparent how Cpk works.

This is the smaller of:

Graphically this can be drawn for the example as follows:

The diagram clearly shows that the overall average is too close to the upper specification. By taking the smaller of the two Z values, Cpk is always looking at the worst side, where the specification is closest to the overall average. Since it is looking only at half the picture, instead of dividing by 6 as in Cp, it is divided by 3.

A Cpk value of one indicates that the tail of the distribution and the specification are an equal distance from the overall average, as shown below:

A Cpk of less than one, as in the example, means that some of the data is beyond the specification limit. A Cpk greater than one indicates that the data is within the specification. The larger the Cpk, the more central and within specification the data.

The above article is an excerpt from the “Operational definition” chapter of Practical Tools for Continuous Improvement Volume 2 Statistical Tools.

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6.1. Calculate Cp

Cp is an index used to assess the width of the process spread in comparison to the width of the specification. It is calculated by dividing the allowable spread by the actual spread. The allowable spread is the difference between the upper and lower specification limits. The actual spread is 6 times the estimated standard deviation. Plus or minus 3 times the estimated standard deviation contains 99.73 percent of the data and is commonly used to describe actual spread.

Cp for the example is:

A Cp of one indicates that the width of the process and the width of the specification are the same. A Cp of less than one indicates that the process spread is greater than the specification. This means that some of the data lies outside the specification. A Cp of greater than one indicates that the process spread is less than the width of the specification. Potentially this means that the process can fit inside the specification limits. The following diagrams show this graphically.

In fact, the Cp states how many times the process can fit inside the specification. So a Cp of 1.5 means the process can fit inside the specification 1.5 times. A Cp greater than one is obviously desirable. However, the example has a Cp greater than one and yet it still has data outside the specification. This is due to the position of the overall average relative to the specification. When the overall average is away from the center of the specification, the system can still produce data outside the specification even though the Cp is greater than one, as in the example below:

To overcome this problem, Cpk was created.

The above article is an excerpt from the “Operational definition” chapter of Practical Tools for Continuous Improvement Volume 2 Statistical Tools.

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4.5. Calculate how much data is outside the specifications

As indicated in the previous step, some of the distribution is outside the specification limit. The question is, how much? To determine the percentage that falls outside the specification limits, it is necessary to find how many estimated standard deviations exist between the overall average and each specification limit. The number of standard deviations is known as the Z value. Z values are used to determine the percentage of output that is outside the specification limits using the standard normal distribution table.

>> 5.1. Find the percentage above the upper specification
>> 5.2. Find the percentage below the lower specification
>> 5.3. Determing the total percentage outside the specifications

The above article is an excerpt from the “Operational definition” chapter of Practical Tools for Continuous Improvement Volume 2 Statistical Tools.

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5.3. Determining the total percentage outside the specifications

The total percentage outside the specification limits or requirements is found by adding the percentage outside the upper and lower specification limits. The total percent of output located outside the specification limits for the example is:

2.28 + 0 = 2.28%

The above article is an excerpt from the “Operational definition” chapter of Practical Tools for Continuous Improvement Volume 2 Statistical Tools.

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5.2. Find the percentage below the lower specification

The Z value for the lower specification is found by subtracting the lower specification from the overall average, and then dividing by the estimated standard deviation. The Z value for the lower specification is denoted as Zlower. The lower specification for the example is 0, the overall average is 10.00, and the estimated standard deviation is 2.00. Thus, the value for Zlower for the example is:

This means that the lower specification is located 5.00 estimated standard deviations away from the overall average. Look up the Z value in the standard normal distribution table as previously described. Since the table shows Z values up to only 4, the proportion and percentage outside of the specification is taken as 0. If any of the data is outside the specification, add the percentage to the diagram.

The above article is an excerpt from the “Operational definition” chapter of Practical Tools for Continuous Improvement Volume 2 Statistical Tools.